Computing the adaptive cycle
The importance of resilience in ecosystem development has been pointed out by Holling in 1986 introducing the metaphor of the adaptive cycle. The metaphor describes a circle of four phases of ecosystem development, being characterized by the dynamic interplay of three variables: potential, connectedness and resilience. The adaptive cycle became a central part of panarchy theory, as been established by the Resilience Network in 2002 (Gunderson & Holling 2002).