Simple Spatial Scaling Rules behind Complex Cities

Although most of wealth and innovation have been the result of human interaction and cooperation, we are not yet able to quantitatively predict the spatial distributions of three main elements of cities: population, roads, and socioeconomic interactions. By a simple model mainly based on spatial attraction and matching growth mechanisms, we reveal that the spatial scaling rules of these three elements are in a consistent framework, which allows us to use any single observation to infer the others. All numerical and theoretical results are consistent with empirical data from ten representative cities. In addition, our model can also provide a general explanation of the origins of the universal super- and sub-linear aggregate scaling laws and accurately predict kilometre-level socioeconomic activity. And the theoretical analysis method is original which is based on growth instead of mean-field assumptions. The active population (AP) concept proposed by us is another contribution, which is a mixture of residential and working populations according to the duration of their activities in the region. AP is a more appropriate proxy than simply residential population for estimating socioeconomic activities. The density distribution of AP is ρ(r)∝r^(-β) (R_t^(1+β)-r^(1+β) )~r^(-β) which can also reconcile the conflict between area-size allometry and the exponential decay of population from city centre to urban fringe found in the literature. Our work opens a new avenue for uncovering the evolution of cities in terms of the interplay among urban elements, and it has a broad range of applications.

Ruiqi Li
Tuesday, September 25, 2018 - 16:17 to 16:21


The official Hotel of the Conference is
Makedonia Palace.

Conference Organiser: NBEvents

The official travel agency of the Conference is: Air Maritime

Photo of Thessaloniki seafront courtesy of Juli Bellou
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